Friday, December 19, 2008

Golden Desert Eagle Bb Gun For Sale

Latest movies seen (xth)

Burn After Reading **** *

gags, Brad Pitt completely stupid hilarious, George Clooney for dragging unrepentant Internet (but can not find why does not it ???), John Malkovich meetic rather very very pissed off, it nothing happens, and that's it the funniest! Few laps, obviously, is a little order, but the conclusion is brilliant, thank you also to the actor piss cold as it should what the shrink New York police! As I said-don't-know-more-who (my brother, I think ...?) By cons, beware of the trailers, too well made. The film is less successful than one might expect.





Madagascar 2 *** **

strange choice of film when you have not seen the first one and is not particularly attracted to animated films that come out each year shovel, I was driven there, and I did not regretted it. Especially for small pride in having recognized the voice of David Schwimmer, Chris Tucker and not knowing in advance that doubled! :) Other than that ... I enjoyed the film gradually. First the question, then why not, then the first smile, then a few chuckles ... until, finally, a good laugh franc in the last scene ! It is better that than the opposite!






Exchange *** **

Since Million Dollar Baby, I see Clint Eastwood as one of the best directors today, and I look forward to his movies . Well, from a patient perspective, it was an ordeal! The film is long, slow, frustrating, although interesting. The story mixes melodrama, Gotham City, Wild West, insane asylum without Scarecrow but still murky, child killer, human stupidity, social critique ... One scene is particularly hard, difficult to watch, it might have been that the film is as shocking from start to finish.






Vilaine ** ***

I wonder what about this film! A few days ago, I strongly questioned whether I had seen it or not, if I say it left a lasting impression! (Okay, okay, I have an episodic memory fails ...) The fault is perhaps the fact that there's nothing in the movie in the trailer. I laughed, I remember, but I also remember a sense of humor very heavy, very French comedy easy exaggerated characters, outrageous scenes, predictable script ... I expected better from the girl!

I Get Dizzy On Treadmill

Thoughts winter


A story ends ... We tell ourselves that life has everything to offer. It is said that today is an opportunity and we are building tomorrow. We look forward, and if the horizon is far away, you feel it will come, and you dream, dream ...

The past is cleaned of all its dross, given a present that kept them, then the dream takes a hit, and yesterday Yesterday, it was him, it was finally ... An illusory refuge, little consolation.

I finished the story, I had faith in the future and the future has come to start with nothing. If leave was hard, it was to get better. If one was to suffer to protect "my poor weak heart and my honor secret," the feeling of failure and have paid.

New year, new life, we forget.


Serres d'Auteuil, a tree, not as dead as it looks ... (November 25, 2008)

Sunday, November 30, 2008

Vidio Of Strangling From Front

As if we did not already shivering enough!



My skin

Take a look at my body, look at my hands
There's so much here that I don't understand
Your face saving promises,
Whispered like prayers
I don't need them.

I've been treated so wrong
I've been treated so long
As if I'm becoming untouchable...

Well, contempt loves the silence
It thrives in the dark,
The fine winding tendrils that strangle the heart
They say that promises sweeten the blow
But I don't need them... no I don't need them.

I've been treated so wrong,
I've been treated so long
As if I'm becoming untouchable

I'm a slow dying flower
I’m the frost killing hour
Sweet turning sour
And untouchable.

(Refrain :)
Oh I need
The darkness,
The sweetness,
The sadness,
The weakness,
Oh I need this.

I need a lullabye,
A kiss goodnight,
Angel, sweet love of my life
Oh I need this


I'm a slow dying flower
Frost killing hour
The sweet turning sour
And untouchable

Do you remember the way that you touched me before,
All the trembling sweetness I loved and adored...
Your face saving promises
Whispered like prayers.
I don't needs them.

(Chorus)

Well, is it dark enough,
Can you see me?
Do you want me?
Can you reach me?
Now I'm leaving ...

You better shut your mouth And hold your breath

You kiss me now, You catch your death

Oh I mean this ...
Oh I mean this ...

Natalie Merchant

Thursday, November 20, 2008

How To Heat My Dog's Kennel

Happy birthday to me (1): 16/10/2008



And now, 24 years all cell (and now 1 month and 5 days I fall behind in publication), is still a year before the crisis Quarter Century and St. Catherine, AAAaaarrrggghhh ...

Meanwhile, I want to thank all those who thought of me in this solemn day, and in a fit of sadism motivated by their conscience to move inexorably into decay disappointments to their own death, held to celebrate my existence by celebrating the blessed day of my birth!

(first resolution for the 25th year: stop being bitter!)

So. Thank you, parents, friends, family here and there, thank you to her famous for being the first and last of the day, thank you to Facebook Buddies Davant, Netlog, thank you to automatic emails, thank you people who are reminded them thanks to this, thank you to people who are reminded them thanks to me, thank you to those who do not recall, thank you to those who have nothing to do and do not even have my phone number, thank you, thank you THANK YOU!




To thank you all as it should, I'll do great honor to share my fabulous recipe for chocolate marble, praised by the family of Boulogne, people of good taste!

To make a good marbled like mine, you must:

- a few eggs (at least 3, then the number varies depending on the size of the pie that we want to prepare)
- the same weight in butter
- the same weight in flour
- a little less sugar
- yeast in suitable amount
- chocolate pastry
- a tablespoon of cream
- a few tablespoons of cocoa powder
- a little cinnamon.

1) Melt the butter in a saucepan over very low heat so it does not cook.

2) In a bowl, combine butter, sugar, flour and yeast, then add the beaten eggs.

3) Let the dough rise for an airy marble.

4) In a saucepan, melt the desired amount of chocolate pastry with crème fraiche and then add the cocoa powder and cinnamon.

5) Divide dough into 2 bowls.

6) In a bowl, mix the melted chocolate to the batter (you must obtain a rather dark color).

7) In a loaf pan, pour the paste kind, then the chocolate batter, and again nature of the dough.

8) With a fork, mix the two pastes roughly a few delicate movements.

9) Bake in preheated oven at 180 ° C for 30-45 minutes (check for doneness with a knife: it should come out clean when pricked).

A glass of milk, a slice of marble is the perfect snack!

Freckle Inside Of Cheek?

My old profile, for the record


Miscellanea, n. pl. : Collection of various writings, literary or scientific, which sometimes do not report them. So it is a potpourri that I propose all these things that I like and perhaps characterize me ... Who am I? I am a student of 23 years in master2 Neuropsychology, interning at Inserm for a study of the brain of pedophiles. And I'm also a little singing, a little frustrated ...

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

Find Product Dimensions

Nobody is made to have a boss

(Paul Graham)

vo: You Were not Meant to Have a Boss

March 2008, revised in June 2008

technology tends to separate the normal from the natural. Our bodies were not designed to eat the foods eaten by people in rich countries, or do so little physical activity. There are probably a similar problem in the way we work: a normal job probably makes us much harm mentally, than white flour or sugar we are physically.

I began to suspect that, after several years working with founders of start-ups. I have now worked with over 200 of them, and I noticed a clear difference between the programmers working on their own start-up and those who work for large organizations. I would not say that the founders seemed happier, necessarily; launch a start-up is sometimes very stressful. The best way to present this may be to say they are happier, as a body is happier for a long race, instead of sitting in a couch eating donuts.

Even if they are statistically abnormal, the founders start-ups seem to work in a more natural way for humans.

I was in Africa last year and I've seen in the wild many animals that I had then seen only in zoos. The difference in appearance was striking. Especially the lions. The lions in the wild seem about ten times more alive. They're like different animals. I suspect that humans feel better by working for themselves in the same manner as a large predator like a lion should feel better by living in the wild. Life in a zoo is easier, but this is not the life for which they were designed.

Pyramids

What is even against nature to work for a large company? The root of the problem is that humans are not made to work in groups so large.

Another thing you notice when you see animals in nature is that each species thrives in groups of a certain size. A herd of impalas might have 100 adult baboons, maybe 20; lions rarely 10. Humans also seem designed to work in groups, and what I read on the hunter-gatherer coincides with searching organizations and my own experience, to suggest roughly what the ideal size: 8 groups work well, from 20, they become difficult to manage, and a group of 50 is really too heavy. [1]

Whatever the upper limit, we are clearly not supposed to work in groups of several hundred. And yet - for reasons that have more to do with technology than human nature - a bunch of people work for companies employing hundreds or thousands of people.

Companies know that groups as large would not work, then they divide in units small enough that we can work together. But to coordinate them, they should introduce something new: bosses.

These small groups are still organized in pyramidal structure. A group linked to the pyramid by his boss. But when using this hocus-pocus to divide a large group into smaller ones, something strange happens, something I've never heard mention explicitly. In the group level, a pattern represents the entire group he leads. A group of 10 managers is not only a group of 10 people who work together as usual. In reality, is a group of groups. This means that for 10 managers work together as if they were a group of 10 individuals, each group working for a manager must work as if it was only one person - the operational and managers would not share them the freedom of one person.

In practice, a group of people is never able to act as if it were a single person. But when a large organization is divided into groups in this way, the pressure is always in that direction. Each group does its best to work as if the small group of individuals in which humans are designed to work. That's why we created it. And when we propagate this constraint, the result is that each person receives a leeway inversely proportional to the size of the whole pyramid. [2]

Anyone who has worked for a large organization has felt that way. You can feel the difference between working for a company of 100 employees and a company of 10,000 employees, even if only in a group of 10 people.

Glucose syrup

A group of 10 people in a large organization is a kind of false tribe. The number of people with whom we interact is about right. But something is missing: individual initiative. The tribes of hunter-gatherers have much more freedom. The Chiefs have a little more power than other members of the tribe, but in general they do not tell them what to do, or when, unlike a boss.

This is not the fault of the boss. The real problem is that in the group above in the hierarchy, a complete group is one virtual person. The boss is just how this constraint is imposed.

Thus, working in a group of 10 people within a large organization appears to be correct and incorrect at the same time. On the surface it seems a group in which we are made to work, but it misses something essential. A job in a large company is like a corn syrup high fructose: it has certain qualities of the things you're supposed to love, but it lacks other of these qualities, so much disastrous.

In fact, the food is excellent metaphor to explain what is wrong with a job lambda.

For example, working for a large company is what we do by default, at least for programmers. What's wrong with that? Well, it shows quite clearly with the food. If it was released today at any point in America, almost all the food around is bad for health. Humans are not made to eat white flour, refined sugar, corn syrup high in fructose, hydrogenated vegetable oil. And yet, if you were to analyze the content of basic groceries, it would likely that these would total four ingredients most calories. Food "normal" is terribly bad for health. The only people who eat what humans are designed to eat are few original Birkenstocks at Berkeley.

If food "normal" is so bad for us, why is it so common? There are two main reasons. The first is that it has a more immediate appeal. Certainly, one hour after eating this pizza, you do not feel well, but the first bite was very good. The second reason is economies of scale. We can produce large-scale junk food, no fresh vegetables. Which means (a) that junk food can be very cheap, and (b) it is worth spends a lot to promote it.

If people have a choice between something cheap, widely promoted and attractive short term, and one thing dear, dark and attractive long term, which do you think they will choose for most?

is the same at work. The basic graduate work at MIT want Google or Microsoft, because it is a recognized brand, it is prudent, and he immediately pay a good salary. This is the equivalent, in employment, he ate pizza for lunch. The disadvantages appear only later, and only as a vague discomfort.

And during that time, founders and early employees of startups will be like the originals and their Birkenstocks at Berkeley: though a tiny minority of the population, are the ones who are supposed to live as humans. In an artificial world, it must be extreme to live naturally.

Programmers

restrictions imposed by jobs in big business weighs particularly heavily on programmers, because the essence of programming is to build new things. The trade show essentially the same arguments every day, people meet customer service roughly the same questions, but once we wrote some code, there is no need to rewrite it. So a programmer working as programmers are supposed to work, is always doing something new. And when you're part of an organization whose structure gives each person a leeway inversely proportional to the size of the pyramid, you will meet resistance when you do something new.

It seems to be an inevitable consequence of the size. This is true even in the smartest companies. I spoke recently to a founder who had considered to launch a start-up just out of college, but went to work for Google instead, because he thought he would learn more there. He did not learn as much as he hoped. Programmers learn by doing, and he could not do most things he wanted to do - sometimes because the company did not allow it, but often because the company code does not allow it. Between the legacy code that must be dragged, it represents the cost of doing development in an organization so large and the restrictions imposed by the interfaces that belong to other groups, he could try a small fraction of the things he wanted to try. He said he learned much in his own start-up, despite the fact that he must do all the small tasks of the company in addition to the lineup, because at least when the program, it can do whatever he wants.

An obstacle downstream propagates upstream. If you are not allowed to implement new ideas, you stop having ideas. And vice versa: when you can do whatever we want, we have more ideas on what to do. So working for yourself makes your brain more powerful, and a bit restrictive exhaust system makes an engine more powerful.

Working for yourself does not necessarily mean starting a startup, of course. But a programmer who chooses between a standard work in a large company and his own start-up, probably learn more by doing a start-up.

can adjust the degree of freedom obtained by changing the scale of the enterprise for which one works. If you go up the business, we have the maximum freedom. If you become one of the first 10 employees, it will almost as much freedom as the founders. Even a company of 100 people give a different impression of a company with 1000 people.

Working for a small business does not guarantee freedom. The pyramid structure of large organizations imposes an upper limit to freedom, not a lower limit. The leader of a small company can still choose to be a tyrant. The idea is that a large organization is forced, because of its structure, to be one.

Consequences

This has consequences, both for organizations and individuals. One downside is that companies will slow inevitable as they grow, what they try to keep their minds start-ups. This is a consequence of the pyramid structure that any large organization is forced to adopt.

Or rather, a large organization could avoid slowing down, if only she avoided the pyramidal structure. And since human nature limits the size of the groups can work together, the only way I can imagine for larger groups to avoid the pyramid structure, would have no structure: each group is truly independent, and they all work together the way a market economy.

Perhaps it would it instantly to be explored. I suspect that there are already highly divisible areas that lean in that direction. But I do not know of any technology company that did.

One thing companies can do, failing to structure itself like sponges: they can remain small. If I'm right, then it really pays to keep a company as small as it can be at each step. In particular, a technology company. Which means it is doubly important to hire the best people. Hurt the poor twice: not only do they produce less, but also they make you fat, because we need more of them to solve a given problem.

For individuals, the corollary is the same: we must aim small. It will always be boring to work for large organizations, and the organization will be larger, it will be shit.

In a test I wrote a few years ago, I advised the graduates of the second degree to work a few years in another company before founding their own. I would say more things today. Working for another company if you want, but only a small business, and if you want to mount your start-up, please. This

why I suggested to the graduates not to get startups immediately was that I felt most would fail. And they will fail. But ambitious programmers are advised to do their own thing and miss rather than going to work in a large company. They certainly learn more. It may even be that they are better off financially. Many people in their twenties get into debt because their expenses increase faster than the salary that seemed so high when they left school. At least if they go up a start-up and they fail, they will be zero rather than in the red. [3]

We (translator's note: Y Combinator, a venture capital firm founded by the author) 've now funded so many different types of founders that we have enough data to see patterns, and seems it is not profitable to work for a large company. People who have worked for several years seem better than those who come fresh from college, but only because they are all older.

People who come to us for many large companies still seem a bit conservative. It is unclear to what extent this is because large companies have made as well, and to what extent this natural conservatism made them work for large corporations first. But much is definitely learned. I know because I saw conservatism flake.

Having seen it happen so often is the one thing that convinces me that working for oneself, or at least to a small group, is the natural lifestyle of programmers. The founders arriving at Y Combinator often oppressed pace refugees. Three months later they are transformed: they have so much more confidence as they seem to have grown a few inches. [4] As strange as it sounds, they seem both more worried and happier. Which is exactly how I would describe the lions in the wild. Looking

employees become founders, it is clear that the difference between the two is mainly due to the environment - especially as the environment of large companies is toxic to programmers. In the first few weeks to work in their own start-up, they seem to come back to life, because finally they work as people are supposed to work.


Notes [1] When I speak of human beings meant to live a certain way, or designed for that, I mean by evolution.

[2] Not only the base that suffers. Constraints are propagated both upward than downward. So the managers are forced, too, instead of just doing things they should act by their subordinates.

[3] It is better not to fund a startup with credit cards. Finance a start-up through debt is usually a stupid gesture, and credit card debt is the dumbest of all. The credit card debt is a bad idea, period. It is a trap set by companies desperate for evil and stupid.

[4] The founders we fund was once the youngest (at the beginning, we encourage non-graduates to apply), and the first time I saw it, I wondered if, physically, they grew really.

Monday, August 4, 2008

Katydids Turtles Candy

The identity crises of humanity

(Kevin Kelly)

vo: Humanity's Identity Crises

March 2008

This century will see a major theme: the pursuit of our collective identity. We are looking for who we are. What it means to be human? Can there be more than one kind of human being? Besides, what exactly is a human?

On average, science reveals a new invention every day, and it does almost never misses these days, that daily invention disrupts the notion we have of ourselves. Every day the news gives question our identity. Therapy based on stem cells, genetic sequencing, artificial intelligence, robots operational, new animal clones, interspecific hybrids, brain implants, drugs that improve memory, limb prosthesis, networks social - each of these tools blurs the boundaries between us as individuals and us as a species. Who we are and who we want to be?

can play online with answers to these questions. On Second Life, or in chat areas, we can choose who we want to be, our gender, our genetics, even our species. Technology gives us the means to change sex, living in new forms, modify our own bodies.

same time, we have the rise of hyper-reality. These simulations are so complex, so compelling and consistent, they have their own force of reality. Infringement so good, it is bought and sold as a counterfeit fabulous. A Disneyland so attractive, it creates its own "fakes". There must be something to counterfeit. Or images edited with a so obviously unreal degree, they have their own reality. Synthetic materials more desirable than natural materials. Below their original reproduction. No matter what is true and what is Memorex.

These hyper-realities launch questions such as: aggression in a virtual account does as a true violent assault, simple assault or virtual? What share of mind in our real lives? To what extent is it really a consensual hallucination? What is the point where the mind ends and begins outside? And if everything - everything that is outside us - was a spirit?

more our lives are rapidly and extensively publicized - we spend more time communicating through technology - the more this question, "What is real", has become urgent. How do we tell the difference, if indeed it exists, between reality and simulations? How do they redefine these people? Investigations

free-thinking, almost demented Philip K. Dick, the legendary author of science fiction, give me great satisfaction. I am a big fan of Dick. The vast corpus of his works is now inevitable, because the two themes he cultivated a predilection are two themes that we will grow in the next 100 years: What is a human and what is the nature of non-human, or reality.

Two images A Scanner Darkly, an adaptation of Substance Death of Philip K. Dick.

In a speech surprising (and surprisingly funny) that Dick gave in 1978, he drew his themes:

The two basic topics which fascinate me are: "What is reality?" And " What is being Authentic human? "For twenty-seven years that I have published novels and short stories, I immersed myself in these subjects again and again. I consider that these are important issues. What are we? What is around us, which we call the non-self, or empirical or phenomenological world?

themes of Dick became our theme. The question "Who are we?", "What is reality?" Will move from the confines of science fiction towards the center of our culture. I can imagine these issues in control of our social consciousness. The question human identity will be one of the USA Today and CNN. The Supreme Court will be interested. These will be topics of conversation at dinner.

In recent decades, when become concrete realities such as Philip K. Dick was just dreaming and when we will experience a better daily artificial intelligence, and when the babies have grown GMOs, when the dopants intellectuals march, when virtual reality will be routine, with social hive mind in constant activity, so the break- Dick struggled with which heads will be our puzzles. Like: Matrix , but the newspaper late night. There will be senators and businessmen and strong Republicans who will say: "Dude, what it would do, if reality was really a different level? And if being a human was a choice? "

can expect a large uncertainty in our species identity and the nature of what we consider as real. This will be an anxious time. This deep anxiety and uncertainty will be the breeding ground of many sects, weird and strange beliefs - as they were for Philip K. Dick (just read the speech!). Psychoses and wars will be based on the uncertainty of what a human being. The war over abortion and the war against slavery are just two indications of the point at which this issue can cause a deadly conflict.

Even those who escape violence - the bulk of ordinary citizens and Internet users - will be squeezed by a layer of insoluble doubt. Who am I? Can there be more than one species of humans? A robot can be a child of God? Slavery is it acceptable among intelligent machines? Should we extend the circle of empathy beyond the animals and living things, so that it includes things made? If it hurts, is that true?

When a friend is eaten by these unanswered questions, you see what it looks like? He may freak out, or become paralyzed by that terrible burden. Now, imagine a world shaken by these obsessions dickiennes. An entire species affected by a crisis of identity. Coming soon.

Iron Causes Breakouts?

Tinkering industrial era

(Kevin Kelly)

vo: Bootstrapping the Industrial Age

March 2007

One of favorite games for engineers is to imagine how they could reinvent an essential technique from scratch. If you were stuck on an island, or survivor after the Apocalypse, and we needed to make, say, a blade, or a book, maybe a pair of radios operating, what would be need to forge iron, make paper, or create electricity?

On occasion, the tinkerers find themselves in a position to put their game in practice. In February 1942, R. Bradley, a British officer of the Royal Artillery, was captured and held prisoner by the Japanese in Singapore. Their camp was isolated supplies almost nonexistent, and they were harshly treated as prisoners of war when they rebelled, they were locked in a shed isolation without food. But then, they were yourselfers. With other prisoners in the camp, Bradley subtilised hand tools to Japanese soldiers, and with these disparate elements, he turned to scrap in a miniature lathe. The short tour was ingenious. It was small enough to be kept secret, and large enough to be useful. It could be disassembled into pieces that could be stowed in a backpack, and transported to the mercy of frequent relocation camp. As large metal parts were readily available without attracting attention, the tailstock of the tour consisted of two steel parts assembled dovetail. The original platform was cut with a chisel.

The tower was an egg could hatch from which tools and was used to make things more sophisticated. With him, the prisoners usinèrent a duplicate key to the hangar isolation (!), And fabricated a battery that powered a radio hidden secret. During the two years of their captivity, the tour made its turn the tools - as taps or punches - which had been used to create it. A tour to these self-reproducing qualities.

Recently, a guy has reinvented the fabric of industrial society in his garage. Fire Dave Gingery was a machinist by night in Springfield, Missouri, who relished the challenge of making something from nothing, or perhaps it is fairer to say how many by leveraging the power of little . After years of tinkering, Gingery managed to assemble a complete workshop zero from scrap dropped. It was summary tools that were better tools, which then were sufficient tools to make real stuff.

Gingery began with a simple backyard foundry. It was a 20-liter bucket filled with sand. At its core, charcoal grill smoldering in a tin of coffee. Inside the box of coal, there was a small ceramic crucible in which he threw pieces of aluminum - cans, etc.. With a fan, Gingery blew air into the furnace rudimentary, which burned coal hot enough to melt aluminum. He poured molten metal into a mold wet sand carved to the shape he wanted. When the cast was cool, he had a platform usable metal, which became the heart of a handmade lap. Other elements of the tower were cast. It ends with these coarse hand tools. His only "cheating" was to add an electric motor used - although not impossible to imagine a version powered by wind or hydro.

When the tour was in rough condition, he used to turn parts of a drill press. With the drill running around and he constantly reworked parts of the tower itself, replacing components with improved versions. Thus, his tiny shop was an incremental device capable of generating a machine with higher precision than himself. He used this tool to create incremental to manufacture parts of a milling machine fully operational. When the mill was finished, he could do just about anything.

Gingery recreational developments in the technology's vast scheme by which simple tools create more complex tools and so on to infinity. This expansion of power of creation is the means by incremental which a whole culture is drawn from the creek by doing. However, it is obvious that this little demonstration is not absolute. As a process to manufacture its own machine tools, Gingery's plan is perfect. It uses the font from engine washing machines and other scrap discharge, to mount a workshop rather robust. But if you want an example of recovery technology company in the manner of Robinson Crusoe - land somewhere and start a civilization - it's cheating, because in the latter game, you do not get started with aluminum cans abandoned nuts and bolts of recovery, old electric motors and scrap metal. To really make the course a minimum of tinkering around the industrial network, we should start by finding its own ore, mine and refine it with primitive tools, bake bricks, sheet metal rolling, manufacture of screws and bolts to hand - all just to get to the point where we have enough tools and materials for making simple foundry bucket of 20 liters, which began Gingery.

Every weekend, some twenty American schools provide a survival course on how to make their own clothes from skin, cut a knife into a stone or bone, cut and assemble a shelter from trees and, more generally, living off the land with self-made tools. They start earlier than Gingery - with elements such as we find in nature. That's a lot of work. You can start a fire without matches, but only after a long drive, almost as much as to become a pro in a video game. Even with all the tools the best expert in the world can do so from scratch (one hundred), it's a hard life that attracts few people.

Beyond these primitive tools, the interdependence of artifacts is incredible. Randomly select an object among thousands to reach the place where you sit. None could exist without many others around. No technology is an island.

Take an object very sophisticated: a web page. A web page may depend on a hundred thousand other inventions, all required for its birth and to prolong its existence. There is a web page anywhere without the invention of HTML code without computer programming, without LED or cathode ray tube, without computer chips, semiconductor, without phone line, without repeater signals over long distances without electrical generator without turbine at high speed without stainless steel, without molding, and without control of fire. None of these inventions concrete exist without the inventions that are basic writing, an alphabet, hyperlinks, indexes, catalogs, archives, libraries and the scientific method itself. To recreate a web page, you must recreate all these other functions. You might as well recreate the modern society.

more we try to disentangle this network of interdependencies, for pulling a single discovery of the skein of inventions related thereto or necessary, the more it all becomes meaningless. We get the same support network for any substance or device today. Antibiotics? A field of invention that begins with sterilization techniques, through the paths of chemistry, the technique of pumping, packaging innovations, the study of animal testing procedures, statistical analysis, and many more are needed.

is why a sophisticated society again after a devastating setback is so difficult. Not all adjacent objects in a given ecosystem, technology alone can not have any effect, so we need that they all work to make a run, so we should fix them all at once. When a war, an earthquake, tsunami, flood or fire destroy the infrastructure of a society without detail, the task of rediscovering all at the same time is impossible. Proof of this interdependence is the deep puzzle of disaster relief: we need roads to bring fuel, but gasoline to put the roads in repair; medicines to treat people, but people in good health to dispense drugs; communications to initiate the organization but the organization to restore communications. Above all when we see it collapsing platform interdependent technology.

This also explains why it is better not to confuse an unobstructed view of the future and the short-term . You can see the precise contours to which technology is going, but we tend to overestimate the proximity of his coming. Usually, the delay (in our eager eyes) is due invisible to the ecology of other technologies that are not yet ready. The invention will remain suspended in the future for many years without coming closer to this. Then, when the co-ignored technology are in place, it will appear suddenly in our lives, accompanied by surprise and applause for his unexpected appearance.

Sunday, August 3, 2008

Mustang Subwoofer Enclosure Door Fox Body

1000 True Fans

(Kevin Kelly)

vo: True Fans 1.000

March 2008

We know that the long tail is good news for two categories of people: some aggregators such as Amazon and Netflix and 6 billion consumers. These last two, I think consumers earn the most wealth hidden in infinite niches.

But the long tail is decidedly mixed blessing for creators. Individual artists, producers, inventors and makers are overlooked in the equation. The long tail does not increase the sales of creators much, but it actually adds a massive competition and endless downward pressure on prices. Unless artists become large aggregators of works by other artists, the long tail offers no escape from the doldrums Sales tiny quiet.

Unless targeting a blockbuster success, what can an artist to escape the long tail?

One solution is to find 1000 True Fans. While some artists have discovered this path without calling it so, I think it is worth trying to formalize it. The bulk of the 1000 True Fans can be stated simply: A creator

as an artist, musician, photographer, craftsman, a musician, an animator, designer, video artist or a writer - as of other words, anyone producing works of art - has need to acquire only 1,000 True Fans to experience his art.

A True Fan is defined as someone who will buy anything and everything that happens. They lead more than 300 miles to see you sing. They will buy the series of luxury boxes republished resolution of your stuff even if they are low-resolution version. They have a Google Alert for your name. They mark the eBay page where your edits appear exhausted. They come to your first. They make you sign their copies. They buy the t-shirt, mug and cap. They are anxious that you publish your next work. They are true fans.

To increase sales beyond the horizontal line of the long tail, we must have direct contact with his true fans. Another way of stating this is that we need to convert miles into a thousand Lesser Fans True Fans. Suppose

cautiously that the True Fans will spend each year, each with their daily earnings to support what you do. This "daily wage" is an average, because of course the most loyal fans will spend much more than that. set that per diem each True Fan expenditure at $ 100 per year. If we have 1,000 true fans, we arrive at $ 100 000 per year, which at least some modest expenses, is sufficient income for most people.

Thousand is a number available. You can count up to 1000. If we added a fan every day, it would take three years. True Fanitude is feasible. Pleasing a True Fan is fun and invigorating. Stay true reward the artist, like the focus on the unique aspects of his work, qualities that are appreciated by true fans.

The key challenge is that we must maintain direct contact with its 1000 True Fans. They give you their support directly. Maybe they come from your private concerts, or do they buy your DVD on your website, or they order your prints at Pictopia. Whenever possible, recover the full amount of their support. It also benefits from the direct reaction and love.

The connection technologies and manufacturing cycle time reduced make this possible. Blogs and RSS news and distill upcoming appearances or new works. Websites host galleries of your past work, archives of bibliographic information, and catalogs of your personal property. Diskmakers, Blurb, rapid prototyping shops, MySpace, Facebook, and the entire digital domain all conspire to make the duplication and dissemination in small quantities, fast, cheap and easy. We do not need a million fans to justify producing something new. Just a measly thousand.

This small circle of friends irreducible, which can provide a livelihood, is surrounded by concentric circles of Lesser Fans. These people will not buy anything we do, and they may not seek direct contact, but it will buy much of what we produce. The process you develop to feed its True Fans also fertilize the Lesser Fans. As you acquire new True Fans, you can also add many more Lesser Fans. If it continues, it is possible that we end up with millions of fans and achieve success. I do not know a designer who is not interested in having a million fans.

But the essential point of this strategy is that we do not need a phenomenal success for survival. We do not need to target the cream of the realm of bestsellers to escape the long tail. There is a middle ground, which is not far behind, where you can at least earn a living. This oasis halfway called 1000 True Fans. This is another destination that an artist can aim for.

Young artists starting out in this digitally mediated world have another path that stardom, a path made possible by technology that drives the long tail. Instead of trying to reach the summits of narrow and unlikely-platinum blockbuster of the most selling and celebrity status, he may seek a direct connection with 1,000 True Fans. It is a destination much healthier to hope. They earn their living instead of fortunes. It is surrounded, not fad and latest fashion, but real fans. And there is much more likely to get there.

few caveats. This formula - one thousand direct True Fans - is forged to a person, the artist solo. What's in a duet, a quartet or a film crew? Obviously we will need more fans. But the additional fans that will be needed are in direct proportion to the geometric increase in the creative group. In other words, if we increase the group size of 33%, one should add that 33% of fans and more. This linear growth is in contrast with the exponential growth that many things growing in the digital world. I would not be surprised to observe that the value of True Fans follows the classical law of network effects, and increases as the square of the number of fans. As the True Fans connect with each other, they will increase their average spending more readily in your work. Thus, while increasing the number of artists involved in the creation increases the number of True Fans needed, the increase does not explode, but gently and increase proportionately. A warning

most important: Every artist has not cut out to keep the fans, or do not want necessarily. Many musicians just want to play music, or just want to shoot photographers, painters, paint, and by temperament they do not want to deal with fans, especially of True Fans. For these creative, there is need of a mediator, a manager, coach, agent, gallery - someone to manage their fans. That said, they can still target the destination of the 1000 True Fans average. They work just as a duo.

Third distinction. Direct fans are best. The number of True Fans needed to make a living indirectly growing fast, but not much. Consider blogging as an example. Because the fan support for a blogger goes through advertising clicks (except occasionally in the case of a box tip), more fans are required for a blogger living from his pen. But while this moves the destination towards the left of the curve of the long tail, it is still far from the land of blockbusters. It's the same for the publication of books. When there are companies dedicated to taking the majority of income from your work, then there need a lot more true fans to support you. Plus an author cultivates direct contact with his fans, plus the required number is small.

Finally, the actual number may vary depending on the media. Maybe it is 500 True Fans for a painter and 5000 True Fans for a videographer. The numbers certainly vary around the world. But in fact the actual number is not critical, because it can not be determined by trying. Once you're in this mode, the actual number will become obvious. This will be the number of true fans that works for you. My formula may be shifted by an order of magnitude, but even so, it is much less than a million.

I examined the literature looking for a reference to the number of True Fans. Carl Steadman, co-founder of suck.com, had a theory about microcélébrités. According to his calculations, a microcélébrité was someone famous for 1500. Thus, these fifteen hundred people would rave about you. As quoted Danny O'Brien, "A person in every British town likes your stupid online comic. It's enough to keep you in beers (or T-shirt sales) all year. "

Others qualify this support microcélébrité micro-philanthropy, sponsorship or distributed.

In 1999, John Kelsey Bruce Schneier has published a model in this First Monday, an online journal. They called the Protocol of the street artists. Using

the logic of a street artist, the writer goes directly to readers before the book is published, perhaps even before the book was written. The author bypasses the editor and made a public statement about: "When I received $ 100 000 in donations, I will go out the next novel in this series."

Readers can go on website of the author, see how much money has already been given, and give money to the cause of the novel to be published. Note that the author does not care who pays to release the next chapter he mocks also the number of people who read the book without paying for it. He cares only that his $ 100 000 prize pool is filled. When it does, he publishes the next book. In this case, "publish" simply means "making available", not "connect and distribute through bookstores. The book is available free of charge to everyone: those who paid for and those who have not paid.

In 2004 author Lawrence Watt-Evans has used this model to publish his latest novel. He asked his True Fans to pay collectively $ 100 per month. When he took $ 100, he posted the next chapter of the novel. The complete book was published online for his True Fans, and on paper for all his fans. He is now writing a second novel in this way. It merely about 200 True Fans because it also publishes the traditional way - with claims to a publisher backed by thousands of Lesser Fans. Other writers who use fans to directly support their work are Diane Duane, Sharon Lee and Steve Miller and Don Saker. The game designer Greg Stolze employed a similar model of True Fans to launch two games pre-funded. Fifty of his true fans have contributed to the seed capital development costs.

The genius of the True Fan model is that fans can move away from the artist depths of the long tail to a degree beyond what their numbers suggest. They can do this in three ways: buying more per person, spending directly, so that the creator keeps more for each sale, and enabling new models of support.

The new models include support micro-patronage. Another model is the pre-funding startup costs. Digital technology allows the fan support takes many forms. Fundable is a web project that allows anyone to raise a fixed amount of money for a project, while reassuring supporters that the project takes shape. Fundable holds the money until the full amount is collected. They repay the money if the minimum is not reached.

Here's an example from the site of Fundable:

Amelia, a classical soprano singer of twenty years, has pre-sold her first CD before entering a recording studio. "If I get $ 400 pre-orders, I will pay the rest [of the studio costs]," she told potential contributors. The model all-or-nothing Fundable has guaranteed that no customers would lose money if it missed its target. Amelia sold over $ 940 in albums.

thousand dollars will not keep alive even a broke artist for a long time, but with sustained attention, zealous an artist can do better with his True Fans. Jill Sobule, a musician who has enjoyed a respectable amount of followers in many years of touring and recording, is doing well by sitting on his True Fans. Recently she decided to go to his fans to fund professional fees of $ 75,000 she needed for her new album. She lifted almost $ 50,000 for now (translator's note: article dated March 2008) . In the direct support through their sponsorship, without gaining intimacy with their artist. According to the Associated Press,

Contributors can choose a level of pledges ranging from "rough stone" $ 10, which entitles them to a free download of her disc when it is done, the "level Plutonium weapons "to $ 10 000, where it promises:" You get to come and sing on my CD. Do not worry if you can not sing - we can fix that on our side. " For a contribution of $ 5,000, Jill Sobule said she will give a concert in the donor's home. The lower levels are more popular, and donors can gain things like an advanced copy of the CD, a mention in the CD booklet and a T-shirt identifying them as "junior executive producer" of the CD.

If one does not earn his living from real fans, are the usual possibility of poverty. A 1995 study showed that the price we agreed to pay to be an artist was important. Sociologist Ruth Towse sounded artists in Britain and determined that on average, they earned below the poverty line.

What I suggest is a space for creative between poverty and be a star. Somewhere in the stratospheric realm of bestsellers, but higher than the darkness of the long tail. I do not know what is actually the right number, but I think an artist could cultivate 1,000 True zealous fans, and their support using new technology, earn a decent living. I'd love to hear from someone who sailed on such a path.

Updates:

An artist who is partially dependent on True Fans responded by revealing its finances: The Reality of True Fans DEPENDING ON

I realize the results of my investigation into the artists supported not True Fans: The Case Against 1000 True Fans

Saturday, August 2, 2008

The Notorious Jewel Denyle And Shelly

The zillion

(Kevin Kelly)

vo: Zillionics

April 2008 (translator's note: The French used the long scale for naming large numbers: million, billion, billion, billiard, trillion, trillion, etc.. In contrast, American English uses the short scale : million, billion, trillion, etc.. so that one billion in French is trillion English. The word zillion , it means a huge number.)

Increase is change.

large quantities of something changing the nature of these few things. Or as Stalin said "Quantity has a quality of its own." The computer J. Storrs Hall, Beyond artificial intelligence, writes:

From a certain quantity of something, it is possible, and indeed, not unusual, as it has properties not at all expressed in small, isolated examples. The difference [may be] at least a factor of one trillion (10 ^ 12). There is no case in our experiment, where a difference of a factor of one billion do not cause a qualitative difference, as opposed to quantitative. A trillion is essentially the difference in weight between a mite too small for us the way and too trivial that they feel, and an elephant. It's the difference between fifty dollars and the economic product of a year by the human race as a whole. It's the difference between the thickness a business card and the distance to the moon.

I call this difference the zillions.

The machinery of replication, especially the digital duplication, quantities can amplify ordinary everyday things and propel them in order of abundance previously unknown. Populations from 10 may to numbers in the order of one billion, a trillion, and the zillion.

A personal library can expand from 10 pounds to about 30 million pounds fully digital in Google Library. A music collection can go up to 100 albums all the music world. A personal archive can range from a box of old letters to a petabyte of information over a lifetime. A company may need to manage hundreds of petabytes of information per year. Scientists can now generate gigabytes of data per second. The number of files that a government may need to monitor, protect and analyze can reach in the trillions. The

zillion is a new area, and our new home. The scale of so many moving parts require new tools, new mathematics, new change of mind.

For scale: one billion pieces of a penny next to a football field, the project Megapenny

When we reached the quantity of orders giga, peta and exa , strange new powers are emerging. We can do things at these scales that would have been impossible before. A zillion hyperlinks provide information and conduct we would wait forever hundred or a thousand links. A trillion neurons give intelligence a million will not. A zillion data points will give a depth of view that only one hundred miles would never give.

same time, the capabilities needed to manage the zillions are intimidating. In this area, probability and statistics reign supreme. Our human intuitions are not reliable.

I wrote earlier:

We learned mathematicians that systems that contain very, very large quantities of parts behave significantly differently than systems with less than a million parts. The zillions of abundance is the highest parts of the order of many millions. Economy networks promises zillions of parts, zillions of artifacts, zillions of records, zillions of robots, zillions of network nodes, zillions of zillions of connections and combinations. The area is a zillion more comfortable in biology - where there are zillions of genes and organisms long ago - that in our recent manufactured world. Living systems know how to handle the zillions. Our own methods for dealing with the fullness zillion imitate biology. (In New Rules for New Economy , 1998)

The social web extends in the world of zillions. Artificial intelligence, data mining and virtual realities, this requires mastery of the zillions. As we raise the number of things we create, especially those that collectively we create, we also get our media and our culture in the zillions. The number of choices we have in music, art, images, words - anything! - Is now reaching the level of the zillions.

How do we avoid being paralyzed or bullied by the zillion choices (see the paradox of choice)? Does the zillion is unlimited? It's a long tail so long, so broad, so deep that it becomes something else entirely. Increase

is change.

Mount&blade Sword Of Damocles

How do philosophy Tips

(Paul Graham)

vo: How to do Philosophy

September 2007

In high school I decided I was going to study philosophy at university. I had several motives, some more honorable than others. One of the less honorable was to shock people. Where I grew up, the university was considered professional training, study philosophy seemed so frankly counterproductive. A bit like cutting holes in his clothes or put a pin in the ear, which were free of other forms of unproductive, which were just beginning to be fashionable.

But I also have other motives more honest. I thought that studying the philosophy would be a direct shortcut to wisdom. All people who were majoring in other things just end up with a package of specific knowledge. I'd learn what was really what.

I tried to read few books of philosophy. Not lately, we did not find those in our high school library. But I tried to read Plato and Aristotle. I doubt that I could understand, but they seemed to talk about something important. I assumed that I would learn what the university.

summer before the end, I followed a few courses in college. I learned a lot during the calculation, but I did not learn much in Philosophy 101. And yet my project to study philosophy remained intact. It was my fault that I had learned nothing. I did not read carefully enough the books in the program. I would give a second chance Principles of Human Knowledge Berkeley university. Something so admired and so difficult to read had to be something in it, all was what.

Twenty-six years later, I still do not understand Berkeley. I have a beautiful edition of his complete works. I just read them one day? Unlikely.

The difference between then and now is that now I understand why Berkeley is probably not worth trying to understand it. I think I see the problem now happened to the philosophy and how it could be repair.

words

I actually found mainly philosophy for most of my studies. It did not work out as I hoped. I did not learn truths of magic compared to which all else was the vulgar specific knowledge. But now I know at least why it did not happen like that. Philosophy does not really object of study, as were math, history or the most academic disciplines. There is no fundamental understanding that we should master. What comes closest is a knowledge that this or that philosopher has said on various topics over the years. There are so few philosophers in the true enough, that people have forgotten who discovered what.

Formal logic is an object of study. I took several courses in logic. I do not know if I learned anything [1] . That seems really important to be able to return to the ideas in his head: see when two ideas do not completely cover the space of possibilities, or when an idea is the same as another, two or three differences. But is that studying logic taught me the importance to think this way, or made better for it? I do not know.

There are things I know I've learned studying philosophy. The most spectacular, I immediately learned the first semester of first year in a course taught by Sydney Shoemaker. I learned that I did not exist. I am (and you) a collection of cells as they go, driven by various forces, which calls itself Me. But there is no central thing, indivisible, which accompanies your identity. We can theoretically lose half of his brain and live. This means that our brain could in theory be cut in half and each half transplanted into different bodies. If you imagine waking up after such an operation, one must imagine to be two people.

The real lesson here is that the concepts we use in everyday life are blurred, and break if pushed too far. Even a concept that is as expensive as I . Took me a while to grasp this, but when it did, it was quite sudden, as someone in the nineteenth century th striking evolution and realizing that the story of creation that child had heard was completely false. [2] Outside of math, there is a limit beyond which we can not push the words, in fact, this is not a bad definition of math to qualify for the study of terms that have precise meaning. The words every day are inherently imprecise. They work quite well in everyday life, we do not realize it. The words seem to work, just as Newtonian physics seems. But we can still break if pushed far enough.

I would say this has always been, unfortunately for philosophy, the central fact of philosophy. Most philosophical debates are not simply affected by confusions over words, but motivated by them. Do we have free will? It depends on what you mean by "free". Do abstract ideas exist? It depends on what you mean by "exist".

commonly been attributed to Wittgenstein the idea that most philosophical controversies are due to confusion about language. I do not really know how we can assign this idea. I suspect that many people have realized this, but have simply responded by not studying philosophy, rather than becoming teachers of philosophy.

How have things changed so? One thing that people have spent thousands of years studying it can really be a waste of time? Those are interesting questions. Similarly, among the most interesting questions one can ask about the philosophy. The most valid approach to the philosophical tradition this could be not to get lost in unnecessary speculations like Berkeley, but not close them like Wittgenstein, but explore it as an example of reason gone astray.

History

Western philosophy really begins with Socrates, Plato and Aristotle. What we know comes from their predecessors fragments and citations from subsequent work, the doctrines of the latter could be described as a speculative cosmology, occasionally venturing into the analysis. Presumably, they were motivated by anything that leads people in any other company to invent cosmologies. [3]

With Socrates, Plato and Aristotle in particular, this tradition has turned a corner. He began to be a lot more analysis. I suspect that Plato and Aristotle were encouraged by the progress in math. Mathematicians have shown that you can come to understand things in a much more conclusive than inventing stories about them pretty. [4]

People talk so much now abstractions that we do not realize that the jump had to be when they started. He probably passed many millennia from the time people started for the first time to describe things as hot or cold, and when someone asked: "What is heat?" Without Clearly this was a very gradual process. We do not know if Plato and Aristotle were the first to ask any of the questions they put it. But their works are the oldest we have to do this at scale, and there's a cool (not to say naive) about them that suggests that they placed some of the issues were new to them at least.

Aristotle in particular reminds me of the phenomenon that occurs when people discover something new, and are so excited, they crossed at a run a huge percentage of the newly discovered territory in one lifetime. If so cases, proof of the newness of this way of thinking. [5]

All this to explain how Plato and Aristotle can be very impressive, yet naive and mistaken. It was very impressive even to ask the questions they asked. This does not mean they were always good answers. It is not considered insulting to say that the ancient Greek mathematicians were naive in some respects, or at least, they lacked some concepts that would have made life easier. So I hope people will not be too offended if I claim that ancient philosophers were similarly naive. In particular, they do not seem to have fully grasped what I called above the central fact of philosophy: that the words break if pushed too far.

"Much to the surprise of the builders of the first digital computers," wrote Rod Brooks, "programs written for them does not work most of the time." [6] Something similar happened when people began to try to talk about abstractions. To their surprise, they were unable to answer on which they were all agree. In fact, it seemed they rarely managed to short responses.

They were actually debating artifacts induced by sampling at too low a resolution.

The proof of worthlessness which turned some of their questions, is how little effect they have. No one, after reading Metaphysics of Aristotle, acts differently accordingly. [7]

Certainly I am not trying to pretend that the ideas should have practical application to be interesting? No, she may not be. Hardy claims that that number theory is not useful, do not disqualify it. But we realized he was wrong. In fact, it is curiously difficult to find an area of math that really has no practical use. And Aristotle's explanation of the ultimate goal of philosophy in Book A of the Metaphysics implies that philosophy should also be useful. Theoretical Knowledge

Aristotle's goal was to find the most general of general principles. The examples he gives are convincing: a worker Ordinary things produces a sense of habit, a master craftsman can do more because it captures the underlying principles. The trend is clear: knowledge is more general, the more admirable. But then he makes a mistake - perhaps the largest error in the history of philosophy. He noted that theoretical knowledge is often acquired for herself, out of curiosity rather than any practical need. Then he argues that there are two types of theoretical knowledge: a part which is useful in practice, and some that do not. Since people who are interested in this last topic for itself, it must be more noble. Then he gives a goal in the Metaphysics , exploration of knowledge that has no practical utility. That means no alarm is triggered when tackling issues grandiose but vaguely understood, and eventually lost in a sea of words.

His mistake was to confuse the motive and result. Certainly, people who want a deep understanding of something are often driven by curiosity rather than any practical need. But this does not mean that they eventually learn is useless. It is very valuable practical to have a deep understanding of what we are doing, even if one is ever asked to solve advanced problems, you can see the shortcuts in the solution of simpler problems, and it has knowledge which will not be undermined in borderline cases, what would happen if we depended on formulas that do not understand. Knowledge is power. That's what makes theoretical knowledge prestigious. This also makes intelligent people curious about some things and not others, our DNA is not as disinterested we might think.

Thus, although the ideas need not have immediate practical applications to be interesting, the kinds of things we find interesting will prove surprisingly often have practical applications. If Aristotle did

came to nothing in the Metaphysics, in part because he was left with conflicting objectives: to explore the most abstract ideas, guided by the assumption that they were unnecessary. It was like an explorer looking for a territory to the north, starting with the assumption that it is located to the south.

And since his work became the map used by subsequent generations of explorers, he also sent them all in the wrong direction. [8] And perhaps the worst is that he has protected the one hand, criticism of others, and secondly, invitations to their internal compass, in establishing the principle that the highest form of theoretical knowledge was necessarily useless. The

Metaphysics is essentially a failed experiment. There are some ideas that deserve to be kept; all had absolutely no effect. The Metaphysics is among the least read of all the famous books. It is not difficult to understand as are Principia of Newton, but the message is garbled.

Arguably it is a failed experiment interesting. But unfortunately this is not the conclusion that the successors of Aristotle's works have drawn as Metaphysics. [9] Shortly thereafter, the western world fell into a difficult period intellectually. Instead versions 1 were supplanted the works of Plato and Aristotle became revered texts need to learn and discuss. And so it went for a long period of shocking. It was not until 1600 (in Europe, where the center of gravity was so moved) we found people confident enough to treat the works of Aristotle as a catalog of errors. And even then it was rare that says simply. If

seems surprising that the interval was so long, it is considered that little progress there was in mathematics from the Hellenistic period and the Renaissance.

In the intervening years, an unfortunate idea stood firm: he was not only acceptable to produce works such as Metaphysics , but it was a particularly prestigious kind of work produced by a class of people called philosophers. No one thought to go back and debug the argument that motivated Aristotle. And so, instead of correcting the problem that Aristotle had discovered by falling into it - you can easily get lost if you speak too freely to very abstract ideas - they continued to fall into it.

The Singularity

Curiously, however, the work they produced continued to attract new readers. In this regard, the traditional philosophy occupies a kind of singularity. If one writes so confused about big ideas, you produce something that seems irresistibly attractive to students inexperienced but intellectually ambitious. At first glance, it is difficult to distinguish something that is difficult to understand because the author was confused in his own mind, something like a mathematical proof, which is difficult to understand because ideas it represents are difficult to understand. For someone who has not learned the difference, traditional philosophy seems extremely attractive: as hard (and therefore impressive) as math, however, a broader scope. That's what attracted me when I was a schoolboy.

This singularity is even more remarkable in that it has its own integrated defense. In general, when things are hard to understand, people who suspect that this is nonsense silent. There is no way to prove that a text has no sense. What comes closest is to show that the official judges of a certain class of texts can not be distinguished from placebo. [10]

And so, instead of denouncing philosophy, most people suspected it was a waste of time have just studied other things. That alone is pretty damning evidence, considering the claims of philosophy. This is supposed to take care of ultimate truths. Surely, all intelligent people would be interested, if it obtained results in this regard.

Because defects philosophy have extended the types of people who could correct them, they tended to recur. Bertrand Russell wrote this in a letter in 1912:

far, the people attracted to philosophy have been those who loved the sweeping generalizations, which were all wrong, which made that few gifted minds are accurate attacked the discipline. [11]

His reaction was to drop Wittgenstein top, with spectacular results.

I think Wittgenstein deserves to be famous, not for the discovery that most of philosophy which preceded it was a waste of time (finding that, judging from circumstantial evidence, must be made by any intelligent person who had studied a little philosophy and declined to pursue further), but for how he reacts . [12] Instead of going quietly to another area, he put the mess from the inside. It was Gorbachev.

The field of philosophy is still shaken from the fright Wittgenstein gave him. [13] Later in his life he spent much time talking about how the words worked. Since seems that this is allowed, that is what many philosophers now. Meanwhile, sensing a void in the department of metaphysical speculation, people who were formerly of literary criticism quietly moved closer to a Kantian direction, with new names as "literary theory", "critical theory" and, when they're feeling ambitious, "theory" for short. Writing is the word salad of which we are familiar:

Gender is not like some other grammatical forms which express precisely a mode of conception without reality that corresponds to the conceptual mode, and therefore do not express precisely something in reality by which the intellect could be encouraged to design a thing as he does, even where this ground is not something in the thing as such. [14] The singularity

I have described do not go away. There is a market for writing that seems impressive and can not be refuted. There will always both supply and demand. Thus, if one group abandons this territory, there will always be others willing to occupy. A Proposal

We may be able to do better. Here is an intriguing possibility. Maybe we should do what Aristotle meant to do, instead of doing what he did. The goal he announced in Metaphysics seems those who are worth being pursued: to discover the most general truths. That sounds good. But instead of trying to discover because they are useless, try to discover because they are useful.

I propose that we try again, but we used this criterion to now despised, the applicability as a guide to keep us from going astray into a swamp of abstractions in us asking questions. Instead of trying to answer the question: What are

the most general truths?

try to answer the question:

Of all the useful things we can say that they are the most general?

The utility test that I propose is whether we are pushing the people who read what we wrote to do something differently then. That we must give specific advice (even implicit), we keep wandering beyond the resolution of the words we use.

The objective is the same as that of Aristotle, we are approaching just a different direction.

As an example of useful and general idea, consider that of the controlled experiment. There is an idea that has proved widely applicable. Some may say that this is part science, but it is not part of any science specific, which is literally the meta-physical (in our sense of "meta"). The idea of evolution is another. It turns out to have fairly broad applications - for example, genetic algorithms and even product design. Frankfurt's distinction between lying and bullshitting a recent example seems promising. [15]

It seems to me what philosophy should look like: general observations rather push someone who understood them to do something differently.

Such observations will necessarily be about things that are defined imprecisely. Once they begin to use words with precise meaning, it does math. So, from the utility does not completely solve the problem I described above - it does not purge the metaphysical singularity. But it should help. It gives people with good intentions a new roadmap towards abstraction. And they may well produce things that, by comparison, tarnish the writings of people with bad intentions.

A disadvantage of this approach is that it will not produce the kind of writing that you are worth a post holder. And not only because it is not fashionable at the moment. To get tenure in any what areas we should not reach conclusions with which members of tenure committees may disagree. In practice, there are two kinds of solutions to this problem. In math and science, we must prove what they say, or, in one way or another, adjusting its claims so that nothing false claim ("6 of 8 patients had lower blood pressure after treatment). In the letters, we may either refrain from drawing any definite conclusion (eg, conclude that the issue is complex), or draw conclusions so narrow that nobody is concerned enough to be disagree with you.

The kind of philosophy that I advocate will be able to take any of these paths. At best, we will be able to reach the model show the essayist, not the mathematician or the experimenter. And yet, we will not be able to pass the test of utility without underlie specific conclusions and fairly widely applicable. Worse yet, the test utility will tend to produce results that hinder people: it is useless to tell people things they already believe, and people are often frustrated to be told things that they do not believe.

Here's something exciting though. Anyone can do that. Achieving general and useful in addition, beginning with the useful and by starting the generality do is perhaps not the young teachers who seek to become owners, but it's better for everyone else, including teachers already hold. This side of the mountain slope is gentle and pleasant. We can start by writing things that are useful but very specific, and then gradually make them more general. At Joe's, there are good burritos. What makes a good burrito? What makes good food? What makes something good? We can continue as we want. We did not go all the way to the top of the mountain. We did not have to tell everyone that because of the philosophy. If

doing philosophy seems daunting, here's a thought encouraging. The field is much younger than it looks. Although the first philosophers in the Western tradition lived about 2500 years ago, it would be misleading to say that the area 2,500 years ago, because for most of this period, the major practitioners did little more than writing Plato and Aristotle comments on any checking over their shoulder if there was not a new invasion army. And at times when they did not, the philosophy was hopelessly intertwined with religion. She struggled not to its links there about two centuries, and even then, was struck structural problems that I described above. If I say this, some say that is a generalization ridiculously disproportionate and uncharitable, and others will say there is nothing new, but here goes: to judge by their work, most philosophers so far have wasted their time. So in a sense, the field is still in its infancy. [16]

This seems a preposterous claim. It will not seem so preposterous in 10,000 years. Civilization always seems old because it is always the oldest ever. The only way to tell if something is really old or not is to look at the structural evidence, and structurally, the philosophy is young and is still unfolding in the unexpected collapse of the words.

philosophy is as young now as were mathematics in 1500. There is much to discover.


Notes

[1] In practice, formal logic is not very useful because, despite some progress over the last 150 years, we are always able to formalize a small proportion of statements . It is possible that we can never do better in this area, for the same reason that the "knowledge representation" typical of the 1980s could never have worked, it is possible that quantities of statements have no representation more concise and a huge brain state analog.

[2] It was difficult for contemporaries of Darwin enter it more than we can imagine easily. The story of creation in the Bible is not only a Judeo-Christian concept, that's pretty much what everyone should believe that since man is man. What was difficult to understand evolution, was to realize that species were not as they seemed to be immutable, but had in fact evolved from different agencies and easier during periods whose duration exceeded the imagination.

Now we did not make that leap. There is no one in an industrialized country would be confronted for the first time the idea of evolution into adulthood. Everyone hears about children or as truth or as heresy.

[3] The Greek philosophers before Plato wrote in verse. It must have affected what they said. If one tries to write about the nature of the world in verse, it inevitably turns to cast. The prose can be more precise, and less definitive.

[4] The philosophy is a little brother lazy math. She was born when Plato and Aristotle looked at the works of their predecessors and said in response: "Why can not you be more like your brother?" Russell said the same thing 2300 years later.

Math is precisely half the most abstract ideas, and philosophy, half vague. It is probably inevitable that the philosophy will suffer from the comparison, because there is no lower limit to its accuracy. Bad math is boring, while bad philosophy is absurd. And yet there few good ideas imprecise in half.

[5] The best work was done by Aristotle in logic and zoology, two sciences that can be said that he has invented. But the most dramatic break from his predecessors was a new way of thinking, much more analytical. Arguably he was the first scientist.

[6] Brooks, Rodney, Programming in Common Lisp , Wiley, 1985 94.

[7] Some would say that we owe more to Aristotle than we believe, because his ideas were one of the ingredients of our culture common. Without doubt, the quantities of words we use are connected with Aristotle, but it seems a bit much to suggest that we would not have the concept of the essence of a thing, or the distinction between matter and form, if Aristotle had not written on them.

There is a way to see how much we really depend on Aristotle, which would be to compare the differences between European culture and Chinese culture: what ideas were present in European culture in 1800 that were not in the culture China, under the contribution of Aristotle?

[8] The meaning of the word "philosophy" has changed over time. In antiquity, it covered a wide range of subjects, comparable in size to our "scholarly" (but without the methodological implications). So even the time of Newton, she understood what we now call "science." But today, the core of the discipline is still what seemed the core of Aristotle's attempt to discover the most general truths.

Aristotle did not call this the "metaphysics". This name was assigned to it because the book we now call Metaphysics came after (meta = after) Physics in publishing classic works of Aristotle, collected by Andronicus of Rhodes three centuries later. What we call "metaphysics", Aristotle called "first philosophy".

[9] It is possible that Aristotle's immediate successors are aware of this but it's hard to say because most of their work is lost.

[10] Sokal, Alan, "Transgressing the Boundaries: Transformative Hermeneutics of Toward a Quantum Gravity ", Social Text 46/47, pp. 217-252.

seems abstract nonsense that sound very attractive when they are stuck with a hand that the audience is already looking to take. If so, we should observe that they are more popular with groups who are (or feel) weak. The powerful do not need their comfort.

[11] Letter to Ottoline Morrell, December 1912. Cited in:

Monk, Ray, Ludwig Wittgenstein: The Duty of Genius , Penguin, 1991, p. 75.

[12] A preliminary result shows that any metaphysics between Aristotle and 1783 had been a waste of time, is due to E. Kant.

[13] Wittgenstein showed a mastery in which the inhabitants of Cambridge seemed particularly vulnerable in the early twentieth th century - perhaps in part because many were raised religiously Then stop thinking, and so have a free space in the head for someone to tell them what to do (Marx and others chose Cardinal Newman), and partly because a quiet and serious as Cambridge at that time had no natural immunity against the messianic figures, as European policy had then no natural immunity against dictators.

[14] This actually comes from Ordinatio of John Duns Scotus (c. 1300), replacing "number" with "gender". More things change, the more they stay the same.

[15] Frankfurt, Harry and Senecal, Didier (trans.), The art of bullshitting (On Bullshit) , 10/18, 2006.

[16] Some introductions to philosophy argue that philosophy is now being studied as the process rather than a truth that would learn. Philosophers whose works are treated would roll over in their graves upon hearing this. They hoped to do more than serve as examples to learn how to argue: they hoped they were getting results. Most were wrong, but that does not seem an impossible hope.

This argument is similar to my eyes to someone, in 1500, noting the lack of results obtained by alchemy and saying that it was worth the process. No, he did it badly. Finally, it was possible to transmute lead into gold (not economically, however, at current energy prices), but it was turned back and try another approach to achieve this result.

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Tuesday, July 15, 2008

How Do Flaming Hot Cheetos Affect Academic



(Paul Graham)

vo: Stuff

July 2007

I have too much stuff. Most people in America too. In fact, most people are poor, they seem to have more stuff. Hardly anyone is so poor that they can not pile up old cars outside his home.

It was not always been like that. There was a time when things were rare and precious. One can still see evidence if it is sought. For example, in my house in Cambridge, which was built in 1876, the rooms have no closets. In those days, the stuff people kept in a dresser drawer. Even as recently as a few decades ago, there was a lot less stuff. When I see pictures of the 1970s, I am amazed how the houses seem empty. Child, I had what I thought was a huge fleet of small cars, but they are dwarfed by the number of toys What my nephews. All together, my Matchbox Corgi and I took about a third of the surface of my bed. In the rooms of my nephews, the bed is the only empty space.

The stuff has become much cheaper, but our attitudes towards them have not changed accordingly. We overvalue the stuff.

was a big problem for me when I had no money. I felt poor, and stuff seemed valuable, so almost instinctively I accumulated. My friends left something behind when they moved, or something I saw when I walked down the street one night bins (be careful what we agree to describe as "In perfect condition"), or I found something in near mint to a tenth of its price on sale in a garage. And blam, even more stuff.

In fact, these things free or nearly free business not because they were worth even less than what they cost. Most of the stuff I accumulated was worthless, because I did not need it.

What I did not understand was that the value of some new acquisition was not the difference between its selling price and what I paid for it. It was the value that I pulled. The stuff is extremely illiquid asset. At least we had any plan to sell this precious thing we had for so little, what difference does it make, what it 'worth'? The only way we will derive the value is to use it. And if we do not use it now, it likely never will.

companies that sell stuff have spent huge sums to train ourselves to think that stuff is still valuable. But it would be nearer the truth to treat stuff as worthless.

In fact, worse than without value, because once you have accumulated a certain amount of stuff, they start you own rather than the reverse. I heard about a couple who could not retire in the town they preferred because they could not afford a home big enough for all their stuff. Their house is not theirs and is their stuff.

And unless you are very organized, a house full of stuff can be very depressing. A cluttered room saps the spirit. One reason, obviously, there is less room for people in a room full of stuff. But it's not just that. I think humans constantly scan their environment to build a mental model of what surrounds them. And the more the scene is hard to analyze, there is less energy for conscious thoughts. A cluttered room is literally exhausting.

(This may explain why the bulk does not seem to interfere with kids and adults alike. Children are less perceptive. They built a cruder model of their environment, and it consumes less energy.)

I am first realized the value zero stuff when I lived in Italy for one year. All that I took with me was a large backpack of stuff. The rest of my stuff, I left behind me in the cellar of my owner in the United States. And you know what? Anything that I missed were a few books. The end of the year came, I could not even remember what else I had stored in the cellar.

And yet, when I got home, I did not even separate from the equivalent of a box. Take a rotary phone in perfect condition? I might need it someday.

What makes me really bad in retrospect, is not only that I had accumulated all this useless stuff, but I had often spent money I desperately needed in things that I did not need.

Why would I do that? Because people whose job is to sell you stuff is really, really good at it. The base type 25 is a boon for companies that have spent years researching how to spend money for stuff. They make the experience of buying stuff so nice that the "shopping" becomes a hobby.

How to protect against these people? It can not be easy. I am a skeptical person, and their tricks on me walked up to the thirty well advanced. But one thing that might work is to ask yourself before buying something: "Is it going to make my life noticeably better?"

A friend of mine has recovered from a habit of buying Clothing wondering before buying anything: "Is what I'll wear it all the time?" If she could not quite believe that something she thought would buy one of those rare things she wore all the time, she did not buy. I think it would work for any type of purchase. Before buying something, ask: Is it'll be something I use constantly? Or just something cool? Or worse yet, a simple case?

The worst stuff on this side are the stuff that does not use much because it's too good. Nothing like the stuff you have fragile. For example, the "good china" held by many households, and whose dominant quality is not as it is fun to use, but we must be especially careful not to break.

Another way to resist acquiring stuff is to think of the overall cost of their detention. The purchase price is only the beginning. We'll have to think this thing for years - perhaps for the rest of a lifetime. Anything that holds it deprives you of energy. Some give more than they do. Those are the only things they are worthy to have.

I now stopped accumulating stuff. Apart from books - but books are different. The books are more like a fluid than individual objects. This is not particularly embarrassing to hold several thousand pounds, whereas if you owned several thousand random possessions, it would be a local celebrity. But apart from the books, now I avoid the stuff actively. If I want to spend money to make me happy, I will take a thousand times of services rather than goods.

I'm not trying to argue this because I accomplished something so Zen detachment from material things. I'm talking about something more mundane. A historic change is in place, and I am now aware. The tips were once valuable and now they are no longer.

In industrialized countries, the same thing happened with food in the middle of the twentieth century. When food was less expensive (or as we become richer, it is indistinguishable), eating too has started to become a much greater danger than eating too little. We have now reached that point with stuff. For most people, rich or poor, things have become a burden.

The good news is that if one carries a burden without knowing it, you can have a better life than we think. Imagine, you walk for years with five pounds of weight on the ankle, and then suddenly you remove them.